• The Golf Shack


Date: 20- 23 May 2021

Location: Kiawah Island, South Carolina

Course: Par 72 7202 Meters

The PGA Championship returns to Kiawah Island, one of the most difficult courses in the world.

Key Stats

Past US PGA winners have all had a combination of these key stats;

  • Driving Distance

  • Strokes Gained: Off The Tee

  • Strokes Gained: Approach

  • Greens In Regulation

  • Proximity 200+ Yards

  • Scrambling

  • Strokes Gained: Around The Green

  • Par 3s 200+ Yards

  • Par 4s 450+ Yards

  • 3-Putt Avoidance

  • PGA National Form

  • Wells Fargo Form

  • Whistling Straits Form (2010 and 15 PGAs)

  • Open Championship Form

  • RBC Heritage Form

  • RSM Classic Form

  • The Players Form

  • Mayakoba Form

  • Saudi International Form

  • Qatar Masters Form

  • Paspalum Greens

Course Winners

  • 2012 - Rory McIlroy

Tournament Winners

  • 2020 - Collin Morikawa

  • 2019 - Brooks Koepka

  • 2018 - Brooks Koepka

  • 2017 - Justin Thomas

  • 2016 - Jimmy Walker

  • 2015 - Jason Day

  • 2014 - Rory McIlroy

  • 2013 - Jason Dufner

  • 2012 - Rory McIlroy

  • 2011 - Keegan Bradley

  • 2010 - Martin Kaymer

Winner Profile The PGA Championship has returned to its traditional roots of primarily being a test of distance. . Strong recent form heading in has been important historically with eight of the last 10 winners posting a Top 15 at their last start before the tournament while six of the last 10 had a Top 7 finish. The PGA has been a great tournament for finding first-time major winners while seven of the last eight winners have jumped 50-1 or shorter. Those that have won earlier in the season have won 18 of 21 PGA Championships. The last 36 majors have all been won by someone in the Top 50. Eight of the last 10 PGA Championship winners have been aged in their 20s.

Top Chances

Bryson DeChambeau: There could not be a course more perfect for the big bomber. Leads the Tour in Driving Distance, Strokes Gained: Off The Tee and Par 4 Scoring from 450+ Yards. Ranks 3rd in Proximity from 200+ Yards and 6th in Par 3 Scoring from 200+ Yards. Great form on Dye courses including a 3rd in the Players this year and an 8th in the 2020 RBC Heritage. Finished Top 10 at the Wells Fargo and 18th in the Saudi this year too. Ticks a lot of boxes. Daniel Berger: Profiles very nicely for this and strikes as a major winner at some point. Ranks 10th in GIR, 15th in Par 3 Scoring from 200+ Yards and 18th in Strokes Gained: Approach. Finished 4th in the Honda Classic in 2020 while he has excellent form on Dye courses including Top 13s in the last two RBCs and a 9th in the Players this season. Has a Top 25 in the Mayakoba so the paspalum not foreign.

Mid-Tier Chances Webb Simpson: Recent Strokes Gained: Tee To Green form is a great guide for here and Simpson ranks 10th over his last four rounds. Simpson loves Dye courses with a win in the 2020 RBC and the 2018 Players and Top 3 finishes at the last two RSMs. Finished Top 20 in the 2019 Wells Fargo and the 2018 Open and is known for handling hard conditions. Ranks 1st in Scrambling, 13th in Par 3 Scoring from 200+ Yards, 15th in GIR, 15th in Strokes Gained: Around The Green and 20th in Par 4 Scoring from 450+ Yards. Tyrell Hatton: Form has dipped a little but he has long been eyed as the perfect player for Kiawah. Ranks 4th in Proximity from 200+ Yards, 7th in Three-Putt Average, 9th in Strokes Gained: Approach and 20th in Strokes Gained: Off The Tee. Great links form, which will hold up here, and a T-6 at the Saudi International suggests the surface will work in his favour. Abraham Ancer: Best of the mid-tier plays. His recent Strokes Gained: Tee To Green numbers are the best in the field after his fast-finishing 2nd at the Wells Fargo. Ranks 12th in GIR and Scrambling. Absolutely loves paspalum greens with Top 12s in the last two Mayakobas and a 6th in the 2020 Saudi International. Finished Top 25 in the last two Players and the last two RBCs. Paul Casey: Probably at the last chance saloon but Casey did come 2nd at Harding Park last year and can compete again. Ranks 2nd in Proximity from 200+ Yards and 10th in Strokes Gained: Approach. Top 12 in the Saudi International so handles the paspalum. Finished 5th in the Players this year while he was 12th here back in 2012. Justin Rose: Rose is getting on in years but is an excellent fit for this course. Finished T-3 here in 2012 and then 4th at Whistling Straits in 2015. Finished 3rd in the 2019 Wells Fargo, was Top 20 the last two Open Championships, plays well on Dye courses and finished 2nd in the 2021 Saudi International. Strong long iron player. Sergio Garcia: Mixing form but like his length here. Ranks 2nd in Strokes Gained: Off The Tee, 15th in Driving Distance and 18th in GIR. Top 10 putter on paspalum greens and finished Top 12 at the last two Saudi Internationals. Good form on Dye courses and did finish 8th at the 2019 Wells Fargo.

Outside Chances Garrick Higgo: Rising star from South Africa who has won three European Tour events inside his first 27 starts including two in three weeks in the Canary Islands recently. Ranks 4th in Strokes Gained: Approach on the European Tour. Charley Hoffman: Rejuvenated veteran who has the long iron game to go well here. Ranks 12th in Strokes Gained: Approach, 13th in Proximity from 200+ Yards and 15th in Par 4 Scoring from 450+ Yards. Also ranks Top 10 in Scrambling. Rasmus Hojgaard: Highly-talented youngster who is already a two-time winner on the European Tour. Ranks 4th in Strokes Gained: Off The Tee, 10th in Driving Distance and 19th in Strokes Gained: Approach. Finished 6th at the Saudi International this year on the paspalum.

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